Good thought provoking post from Anthropic. I think this paragraph points to the key element of the optimistic scenario of AI: “There has been an explosion of new ideas, initiatives, tools, and simulations, as a result of Anthropic employees working with highly capable models—far more than we have the capacity to pursue. The rate at which organizations can spot and fix these bottlenecks may be a skill that improves over time, and it may become the most important skill for any organization.” AI lowers the barrier dramatically to allowing us to do more. As a result of that, we have far more ideas than we can pursue, and for the ones that we want to pursue we’re ultimately limited by our ability to go take on the surrounding work to execute those ideas. There’s almost no amount of AI progress that can happen where that goes away. AI is going to let us build much more software, launch more marketing campaigns, research more drugs, and so on. All of this work, even when augmented by agents, still ultimately requires people to manage.
Anthropic 这篇帖子很发人深省。我认为，这一段指出了 AI 乐观情景中的关键要素：“随着 Anthropic 员工与能力极强的 model（模型）协作，新的想法、倡议、工具和模拟大量涌现——多到远远超出我们能够推进的容量。组织识别并修复这些瓶颈的速度，可能会成为一种会随着时间推移而提升的能力，并且可能成为任何组织最重要的能力。”AI 大幅降低了让我们做更多事情的门槛。结果就是，我们拥有的想法远多于能够真正推进的数量；而对于那些我们确实想推进的想法，我们最终仍然受限于自己是否有能力去承担并完成其周边所需的工作，从而把这些想法执行出来。几乎无论 AI 取得多大进展，这一点都不会消失。AI 将使我们能够构建更多软件、发起更多营销活动、研究更多药物，等等。所有这些工作，即使有 agent（智能体）增强，最终仍然需要由人来管理。