For everything we’ve seen about agents so far, it’s clear that they will make it far easier for people to get into previously extremely complicated fields. That will most certainly mean far more people will build software, explore creative work, research spaces they couldn’t do before, and so on. Yet, equally, we’ve seen that people with experience in every one of those fields have a huge edge with the right judgment and historical context to leverage these tools in ways that exceed the output of the novices (if they choose to). They know when the agents are making catastrophic mistakes, can give the agents the right context to do the job better than they otherwise would have, and so on. The combination of these two facts essentially means that we will continue to get the same lift as we’ve seen in any other technological revolution. More democratization, but similarly greater output from the experts. This then makes the experts continue to be in higher demand because over time our expectation for what we can get out of any field will just go up. This is going to be true in essentially every important field. You’ll trust a lawyer using an agent for legal advice over someone who’s never had to experience how well a contract holds up. You’ll trust an engineer developing and running software over someone who’s never seen a production system. You’ll rely on the important instincts of a designer using agents over the average prompter. The quality and volume of output we expect from these functions will certainly go up meaningfully, but the person with experience will always have a leg up, which is why the jobs don’t go away.
就我们目前看到的关于 agent 的一切而言，很明显，它们将让人们更容易进入那些过去极其复杂的领域。这几乎肯定意味着，会有更多人构建软件、探索创意工作、研究他们以前无法涉足的领域，等等。但与此同时，我们也看到，在这些每一个领域里，有经验的人如果具备恰当的判断力和历史背景，就会拥有巨大的优势，能够以超过新手产出的方式来利用这些工具（如果他们愿意的话）。他们知道 agent 什么时候会犯下灾难性的错误，也能为 agent 提供正确的上下文（context），让它们比原本做得更好，等等。这两个事实结合在一起，基本上意味着，我们会继续获得和以往任何技术革命中相同的提升：更强的 democratization（普及化），但专家的产出也会同样更高。因此，专家会继续处于更高需求之中，因为随着时间推移，我们对任何领域能够产出什么的预期只会不断提高。这一点几乎会在每一个重要领域都成立。相比一个从未真正经历过合同到底有多经得起考验的人，你会更信任一位使用 agent 提供法律建议的律师。相比一个从未见过 production system（生产系统）的人，你会更信任一位开发并运行软件的工程师。相比普通的 prompter（提示词使用者），你会更依赖一位使用 agents 的设计师所具备的重要直觉。我们对这些职能的产出质量和产出规模的预期，当然都会显著提高，但有经验的人始终都会更占优势，这也是为什么这些工作不会消失。